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Discussione di gruppo e previsione. Alcune implicazioni per la valutazione dei metodi
Journal Title: FUTURIBILI 
Author/s: Simone Arnaldi 
Year:  2008 Issue: Language: Italian 
Pages:  9 Pg. 89-97 FullText PDF:  65 KB
DOI:  10.3280/FU2008-001005
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Group discussion and prediction. Implications for evaluating methods - In the context of panel-based methods, group discussions between experts and stakeholders are widely used in prediction to produce, collect and select the information needed for the construction of visions and images of the future and for the development of strategies and plans of action for the present. Despite the widespread use of these techniques, the literature seems to neglect possible bias that may be generated by discussion itself and that may, if not monitored, undermine their ability to make a reliable contribution to the prediction process. Referring to the use of focus groups in social research, the article attempts to outline a possible interpretative framework for the main dynamics and conditions of group discussions, in order to improve our awareness of the bias that may arise from them.

Simone Arnaldi, in "FUTURIBILI" 1/2008, pp. 89-97, DOI:10.3280/FU2008-001005


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