Click here to download

Influence of new fac tors on global energy prospects in the medium term: compar ison among the 2010, 2011 and 2012 editions of the IEA’s World Energy Outlook reports
Journal Title: ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT 
Author/s: Lo Giudice Gino Moncada, Francesco Asdrubali, Antonella Rotili 
Year:  2013 Issue: Language: English 
Pages:  23 Pg. 67-89 FullText PDF:  2519 KB
DOI:  10.3280/EFE2013-003003
(DOI is like a bar code for intellectual property: to have more infomation:  clicca qui   and here 


Several economic, geopolitical, demographic and environmental factors drive world’s energy scenario; among them, the reduction of greenhouse gases emissions and the consequent development of renewable energy sources, the global financial crisis, the increase in global population and urbanization, the increase of fossil fuels prices have had a particularly strong impact in recent years. Furthermore, exceptional events, such as the accident at the Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan, may occur to complicate World energy scenarios. The most recent reports on world energy markets, especially the WEO - World Energy Outlook, are characterized by the introduction of new prospects and scenarios, as a result of unpredictable events such as Fukushima accident or of emerging factors, such as the increasing share of unconventional resources in the future energy mix (shale gas and shale oil) and the importance of energy efficiency, proposing an "Efficient World Scenario". Disappointing signals about the development of renewables are also recorded. The paper focuses on the comparison among the major reports and statistical energy data, especially the 2010, 2011 and 2012 editions of the World Energy Outlook issued by IEA. Mid-term energy scenarios are presented and discussed, with particular emphasis on the increasing importance of energy efficiency, on the new prospects concerning nuclear power and on the role of unconventional fossil fuels.
Keywords: Energy scenarios, WEO, nuclear power, energy efficiency, nonconventional fossil fuels
Jel Code: Q4, Q41, Q47

  1. British Petroleum (2013). BP Energy Outlook 2030.
  2. Coers R., Sanders M. (2013). The energy-GDP nexus; addressing an old question with new methods. Energy Economics, 36: 708-715., DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.11.015
  3. Enerdata. Global Energy Statistical Yearbook 2012, available at http://www.enerdata.net.
  4. Exxon Mobil (2012). 2013-The Outlook for Energy: a view to 2040.
  5. Moncada Lo Giudice G., Asdrubali F. (2010). Fattore N. Tutto quello che c’è da sapere sull’energia nucleare. Armando.
  6. Moncada Lo Giudice G., Asdrubali F. (2007). La sfida dell’energia. Milano: FrancoAngeli.
  7. Moncada Lo Giudice G., Asdrubali F., Rotili A. (2012). Sul contesto energetico mondiale. La Termotecnica, 7: 37-44.
  8. International Atomic Energy Agency. The Database on Nuclear Power Reactors, available at http://www.iaea.org/PRIS/home.aspx.
  9. International Atomic Energy Agency (2010). Nuclear Technology Review.
  10. International Energy Agency (2010). World Energy Outlook.
  11. International Energy Agency (2011). World Energy Outlook.
  12. International Energy Agency(2012a). The Golden Rules for a Golden Age of Gas, Report.
  13. International Energy Agency (2012b). CO2 emissions from fuel combustion.
  14. International Energy Agency (2012c). World Energy Outlook.
  15. International Monetary Fund (2013). World Economic Outlook.
  16. KhatibH. (2011). IEA World Energy Outlook 2010 – A comment. Energy Policy, 39: 2507-2011., DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.017
  17. KhatibH. (2012). IEA World Energy Outlook 2011 – A comment. Energy Policy, 48: 737-743., DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.06.007
  18. Koyama K. (2013). Growing Japan-Chinese tensions and Energy Problems. JIEEBulletin, 13.
  19. Liddle B. (2012). Breaks and trends in OECD countries’ energy-GDP ratios. Energy Policy, 45: 502-509., DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.02.061
  20. OECD. Economic Outlook, Analysis and Forecasts, available at http://www.oecd.org.
  21. United Nation, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (2012).World Economic Situation and Prospects. World Bank Database, available at http://www. worldbank.org.

Lo Giudice Gino Moncada, Francesco Asdrubali, Antonella Rotili, in "ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT" 3/2013, pp. 67-89, DOI:10.3280/EFE2013-003003

   

FrancoAngeli is a member of Publishers International Linking Association a not for profit orgasnization wich runs the CrossRef service, enabing links to and from online scholarly content