TY - JOUR PY - 2020 SN - 2239-7221 T1 - Long-term financial sustainability: An evaluation methodology with threats considerations JO - RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA' DA - 8/15/2020 12:00:00 AM DO - 10.3280/RISS2020-001004 UR - http://www.francoangeli.it/Riviste/Scheda_rivista.aspx?idArticolo=66825 AU - Guryanova, Lidiya AU - Bolotova, Olena AU - Gvozdytskyi, Vitalii AU - Olena, Sergienko SP - 47 EP - 69 IS - 1 VL - X LA - EN AB - It is shown that one of the directions for increasing the efficiency of managing corporate systems (CS) under the influence of a large number of destabilizing fa-tors ("shocks", threats) is the development of a set of models of estimation and analysis of the long-term stability of CS in proactive contour of management, which allow timely diagnosing a decrease in the company’s security level and adopting effective preventive management decisions. A review of existing approa-ches to the formation of such a set of models showed a number of limitations, the result of which is a low forecasting accuracy. The proposed approach, unlike the existing ones, allows to: 1) determine the optimal dimension of the information space of diagnostic factors; 2) find the optimal number of classes of situations for which differentiated management strategies can be developed; 3) determine the period of pre-emption, which does not require updating the models of retrospective diagnostics. This makes it possible to identify the class of not only current, but also forecast situations for a given horizon of proactive management and to choose an adequate preventive strategy. PB - FrancoAngeli ER -