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Sondaggi ed errori: una storia infinita
Journal Title: COMUNICAZIONE POLITICA 
Author/s: Paolo Natale e Giacomo Sani 
Year:  2008 Issue: Language: Italian 
Pages:  12 Pg. 155-166 FullText PDF:  89 KB

Polls and Errors: a Neverending Story - From the beginning to our times, the performances of the pre-electoral surveys have seen good and bad estimates. Nevertheless, the last period could be considered better, in some way, if compared to the errors occurred in the previous century. In this paper we recall the birth and the development of the pre-electoral surveys, first of all in Italy, to finally understand that, although there is a lot to work on - to reach the goal of a constant good estimation - the relevant bias are actually kept under some control, with the exception of a permanent underestimation of the centre-right wing.

Paolo Natale e Giacomo Sani, in "COMUNICAZIONE POLITICA" 2/2008, pp. 155-166, DOI:

   

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