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Perspectives on the Future in the Sociology of Work
Titolo Rivista: SOCIOLOGIA DEL LAVORO  
Autori/Curatori: Duncan Gallie 
Anno di pubblicazione:  2019 Fascicolo: 153 Lingua: Inglese 
Numero pagine:  23 P. 9-31 Dimensione file:  298 KB
DOI:  10.3280/SL2019-153002
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The current concern with a new digital transformation has once more placed the future of work at the center of the public and research agendas. As sociologists of work seek to grapple with its potential implications, it is perhaps salutary to consider the fate of their earlier attempts to forecast the future. The paper examines the empirical success of the major theoretical forecasts of the early postwar period and their successors in the 1990s. The last seven decades of research should make us careful about ready predictions of the direction of social change, attentive to the dangers of extrapolating from "cutting-edge" developments, and aware of the complexity of trends and the factors that can moderate them.

Le attuali preoccupazioni per le conseguenze della nuova trasformazione digitale hanno, ancora una volta, portato il lavoro e le sue evoluzioni future al centro del dibattito pubblico e dei programmi di ricerca. I sociologi del lavoro sono impegnati a comprendere le potenziali implicazioni della digitalizzazione e a supporto di que-sto sforzo è forse utile andare a considerare l’esito dei tentativi di prevedere il futu-ro del lavoro in altre epoche. Il saggio esamina il grado di successo empirico delle principali previsioni teoriche del primo periodo postbellico e dei successori negli anni '90. Le ricerche di questi decenni dovrebbero metterci in guardia rispetto a sbrigative previsioni sulla direzione del cambiamento sociale, sui pericoli del deri-vare gli sviluppi futuri dalle "avanguardie" e dare maggiore consapevolezza della complessità delle tendenze e dei fattori che possono moderarle.
Keywords: Qualità del lavoro, trasformazioni digitali, futuro del lavoro

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