Uno studio sulle presidenziali americane: l’economia conta?

Journal title HISTORIA MAGISTRA
Author/s Marco Morini
Publishing Year 2012 Issue 2012/9
Language Italian Pages 15 P. 41-55 File size 164 KB
DOI 10.3280/HM2012-009005
DOI is like a bar code for intellectual property: to have more infomation click here

Below, you can see the article first page

If you want to buy this article in PDF format, you can do it, following the instructions to buy download credits

Article preview

FrancoAngeli is member of Publishers International Linking Association, Inc (PILA), a not-for-profit association which run the CrossRef service enabling links to and from online scholarly content.

The economy matters. This is one of the dogmas taught us by those who have studied the history of the American presidential elections. But is this collective perception of the influence of economic data on individual electoral behaviour confirmed by statistical analysis of the history of presidential elections? This study shows that the most commonly used economic indicators are poor predictors of election outcomes, and also that variation in the approval rating of the incumbent president is a variable independent from the real economic data.

Keywords: American politics, American history, political behaviour, American presidential elections, political history, economic statistics.

Marco Morini, Uno studio sulle presidenziali americane: l’economia conta? in "HISTORIA MAGISTRA" 9/2012, pp 41-55, DOI: 10.3280/HM2012-009005