A plan for green jobs and sustainable mobility: a scenario analysis

Journal title ECONOMIA E SOCIETÀ REGIONALE
Author/s Simone D’Alessandro, Marta Bonetti, David Cano-Ortiz, Michele Ceraolo
Publishing Year 2024 Issue 2024/2
Language Italian Pages 16 P. 25-40 File size 613 KB
DOI 10.3280/ES2024-002003
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This paper, promoted by the associations of the Alleanza Clima Lavoro, aims to simulate the economic, social, and environmental impact of a policy mix known as the Piano per il lavoro verde e la mobilità sostenibile which focuses on promoting the electrification of mobility in Italy and the decarbonization of the transport sector. The simulations were carried out using the Eurogreen macroeconomic model, a system dynamics-based tool specifically calibrated for the Italian context. The scenario analysis also considered additional hypotheses, such as reducing sectoral working hours and increasing exports of sustainable mobility products. The results show that, while the plan fosters emissions reduction and job growth, additional poli-cies will be necessary to mitigate the negative social impacts of the ecological transition. The paper therefore highlights the importance of a systemic and integrated approach to address the challenges of transitioning towards a more sustainable and equitable future, with particular attention to socio-economic dynamics.

Keywords: Ecological Transition, Just Transition, Automotive Sector, System Dynamics, Scenario Analysis, Macroeconomic Model

Jel codes: E17, E20, E61, H23, H54, I30, J21

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Simone D’Alessandro, Marta Bonetti, David Cano-Ortiz, Michele Ceraolo, Un piano per il lavoro verde e la mobilità sostenibile. Analisi di scenario in "ECONOMIA E SOCIETÀ REGIONALE " 2/2024, pp 25-40, DOI: 10.3280/ES2024-002003