Part I. D. Fantazzini, F. Ferretti, Agricultural Modelling: An Econometric Approach
Econometric Methods: A Guideline to a Rich Menu
(Introduction; Single Equation Structural Models; Multiple Equation Structural Models; Non-Structural Models; Review of Simultaneous Equations Estimation Methods)
Review of Macro - founded Models
(An Example of Agricultural Structural Model: The Tobacco Industry in the '70s; Macro-Econometric Models and Agricultural Market Liberalization: The Grain Industry in the late '90; Conclusions: Pros and Cons of the "Macro" Approach)
Review of Micro - founded Models
(Uncertainty and Risk: Von Neumann - Morgenstern Utility Theory; A Linear Mean-Variance Model under CARA Utility Functions: Dutch Arable Farms before 1992; A Non-Linear Mean-Variance Model under CRRA Utility Functions: Italian Arable Farms after 1992; Conclusions: Pros and Cons of the "Micro" Approach)
Review of Non-Structural (A-theoretical) Models
(Modelling Multivariate Conditional Means and Volatilities: Irish Grain Prices; Conclusions: Pros and Cons of the "A-Theoretical" Approach)
The Italian Tobacco Industry: Structural Aspects
(Introduction; The High Sector of the Tobacco Industry; The Low Sector of the Tobacco Industry; The "Separation" between the High Sector and the Low Sector)
The European Regulations: Past, Present and Future
(The Introduction of EU regulations: The 1970 Reform; The Current Regulation: The 1992-1998 Reforms; The Future of the EU Regulation: the 2003 Reform)
An Empirical Analysis with Italian Tobacco Data
(A Nacro-founded Model; A Micro-founded ;odel; A Non-Structural Model; Conclusions)
Part II. F. Arfini, M. Donati, D. Menozzi, Agricultural Modelling: A Positive Mathematical Programming Approach
Introduction
Analysis of the CMO for Tobacco: from Reg. 2075/92 to the 2002 Review
(Objectives of the CMO for Tobacco; Tobacco CMO Instruments currently in force)
Tobacco Production in Italy
A PMP farm model to evaluate the Tobacco CMO Reform
(The Estimation of Marginal Costs for the Processes Implemented; Estimation of the Cost Function; Model Calibration and the Simulation Procedure)
The Scenarios of the Tobacco CMO Reform tested by Fram Model
(Scenarios for the Reform Proposal on March 2004; Scenarios for the Reform Proposal on April 2004)
Impact of the Tobacco CMO Reform by Farm Model
(Impact of March 2004 Reform Proposal; Impact of April 2004 Reform Proposal; The Contradiction between the Reduction in Aid and the Contribution to the "Tobacco Fund")
The Impact Analysis of Tobacco CMO Reform by Regional Model
(The Regional PMP Model; The Information used; The Simulation Phase; MTR Policy Constraints; Agicultural Policy Scenarios concerning the Tobacco CMO Reform; The Results of the Application of the Regional Model; Some Considerations on the Regional Model)
Occupational Considerations
(Agricultural Phase; Processing Phase; Effects on Employment)
Part III. K. Mattas, E. Loizou, S. Rozakis, V. Tzouvelekas, Agricultural Modelling: An Input - Output Approach
Introduction
The Tobacco Sector Overview
(Production; Economic Significance of Tobacco; Social Contribution of Tobacco)
The Regional Dimension of Tobacco, AMT Region
(Regional Role of Tobacco)
Objectives of the Study and Tobacco COM Reform Scenarios
Applied Methodology and Data
(Input-Output Analysis; The Agricultural Sector Model)
Description of the Greek FADN Sample
Empirical Results
(Input-Output Multipliers; Option A; Option B; Option C; Option D; Option D1; Option E; Option E1; Comparative Results)
Summary and Main Conclusions

Contributors: Filippo Arfini, Dean Fantazzini, Konstadinos Mattas

Serie: Economia - Ricerche

Subjects: Agricultural and Food Economics

Level: Scholarly Research